Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.641224 9.864088 11.205697 12.788024 14.604896 16.627755 19.053508
2025-11-30 7.213898 8.869704 10.830418 13.328290 16.433198 20.175264 25.042060
2025-12-07 6.252727 8.103549 10.417387 13.532228 17.631259 22.862706 30.080431
2025-12-14 5.484753 7.419904 9.948757 13.510593 18.423297 24.997420 34.524000
2025-12-21 4.860054 6.822325 9.486528 13.388957 18.995725 26.815144 38.644147
2025-12-28 4.543095 6.595119 9.479760 13.858976 20.390436 29.851834 44.743689
2026-01-04 4.237615 6.341919 9.395002 14.183566 21.573833 32.658273 50.752824
2026-01-11 4.011437 6.175805 9.409731 14.638694 22.970855 35.882640 57.696436
2026-01-18 3.624593 5.723945 8.944770 14.297460 23.076883 37.090084 61.515006
2026-01-25 3.313004 5.358636 8.576231 14.064036 23.314812 38.500603 65.767137
2026-02-01 3.042620 5.033690 8.240035 13.844548 23.540502 39.887368 70.081219
2026-02-08 2.801558 4.735020 7.918808 13.615157 23.716453 41.185434 74.336857
2026-02-15 2.572179 4.439866 7.583731 13.339768 23.799665 42.351120 78.517142
2026-02-22 2.506653 4.421355 7.718054 13.898906 25.417967 46.388177 88.426397
2026-03-01 2.390671 4.302857 7.665583 14.112078 26.414463 49.367516 96.607913
2026-03-08 2.249884 4.127312 7.495425 14.089473 26.959142 51.536526 103.402015
2026-03-15 2.107257 3.936488 7.281190 13.962396 27.285547 53.303986 109.547928
2026-03-22 2.058351 3.917485 7.384017 14.453453 28.866911 57.672188 121.511944
2026-03-29 1.992839 3.860945 7.409964 14.792591 30.168301 61.586321 132.908640
2026-04-05 1.947255 3.839369 7.500879 15.268142 31.788981 66.297512 146.525728
2026-04-12 1.811522 3.627688 7.200168 14.911593 31.623732 67.222834 151.767759
2026-04-19 1.698685 3.454045 6.962854 14.667703 31.676748 68.616319 158.212400
2026-04-26 1.596035 3.293852 6.741144 14.438379 31.739658 70.031583 164.844117